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  青山纸业[600103] 003
☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯600103   更新日期:2009-08-06◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2009-03-31|2008-12-31|2008-09-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |-0.0463   |-0.0234   |0.0056    |0.0210    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |-0.0468   |-0.0234   |0.0007    |0.0190    |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.7920    |1.7310    |1.6830    |1.7080    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |-2.5800   |-1.3500   |0.3300    |1.2100    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.2715    |0.1871    |0.1153    |0.1258    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3227    |0.3455    |0.3690    |0.3841    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|59229.07  |26317.67  |168812.44 |129623.96 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |458.55    |-2.62     |972.23    |336.72    |
|净利润(万元)      |-4914.91  |-2488.28  |590.65    |2198.10   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-06-30|2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.0229    |0.0110    |0.0352    |0.0323    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0210    |0.0083    |0.0374    |0.0317    |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.7820    |1.8750    |1.9720    |1.5800    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |1.2900    |0.5900    |1.7800    |2.0400    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.1977    |0.3020    |0.4107    |0.0152    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3863    |0.3744    |0.3634    |0.3666    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|89292.30  |45143.75  |144360.53 |104792.33 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |286.30    |3.19      |136.82    |136.29    |
|净利润(万元)      |2436.69   |1164.69   |3738.01   |3401.01   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |带强调事项|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |段的无保留|意见      |意见      |
|                  |          |意见      |          |          |
|每股收益(元)      |-0.0463   |0.0056    |0.0352    |0.0145    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |-0.0468   |0.0007    |0.0374    |0.0155    |
|每股净资产(元)    |1.7920    |1.6830    |1.9720    |1.6630    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.2715    |0.1153    |0.4107    |0.2629    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.3227    |0.3690    |0.3634    |0.3971    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.0230    |0.2093    |0.1057    |0.1027    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.0004    |0.0484    |-0.0136   |0.0092    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|59229.07  |168812.44 |144360.53 |127644.77 |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|经营费用(万元)    |3492.28   |5318.03   |4591.23   |4828.26   |
|管理费用(万元)    |4079.91   |7646.97   |7547.32   |8282.28   |
|财务费用(万元)    |1500.85   |3412.29   |2053.58   |1168.51   |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-4.06     |15.39     |-0.60     |-7.88     |
|营业利润(万元)    |-4797.49  |1201.92   |5552.22   |2817.17   |
|投资收益(万元)    |458.55    |972.23    |136.82    |-70.92    |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |215.70    |513.09    |121.57    |37.11     |
|利润总额(万元)    |-4581.79  |1715.02   |5673.80   |2854.28   |
|所得税(万元)      |-161.18   |-59.44    |818.75    |590.44    |
|净利润(万元)      |-4914.91  |590.65    |3738.01   |1541.04   |
|销售毛利率(%)     |11.73     |11.77     |16.09     |17.04     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |-2.58     |0.33      |1.78      |0.92      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |1.13      |3.21      |3.15      |3.95      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |2.01      |6.49      |5.62      |4.95      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.21      |0.57      |0.51      |0.54      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-33.67    |16.94     |13.10     |8.38      |
|营业利润增长率(%) |-249.90   |-78.35    |97.09     |-32.31    |
|税后利润增长率(%) |-301.70   |-84.20    |142.56    |-21.75    |
|净资产增长率(%)   |0.56      |-14.69    |24.92     |4.99      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |1.43      |-13.79    |25.83     |13.75     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |293782.08 |272453.65 |316038.23 |251161.42 |
|负债总额(万元)  |93399.96  |84143.75  |97454.88  |74601.30  |
|流动负债(万元)  |54772.58  |52072.64  |53063.34  |37449.59  |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|货币资金(万元)  |18762.76  |18719.89  |13570.18  |15020.91  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |32930.38  |26064.25  |25984.68  |25350.72  |
|其他应收款(万元)|758.11    |1377.24   |2191.39   |3999.48   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |190324.12 |178660.72 |209428.18 |167650.88 |
|资产负债率(%)   |31.7922   |30.8836   |30.8364   |29.7025   |
|股东权益比率(%) |64.7841   |65.5747   |66.2667   |66.7502   |
|流动比率(%)     |2.0625    |2.2157    |2.1833    |2.9520    |
|速动比率(%)     |1.2760    |1.2610    |1.3722    |2.0445    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |63009.02  |203826.21 |164904.23 |138924.52 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |2443.49   |22230.67  |11230.18  |9091.42   |
|现金净流量(万元)|42.87     |5149.71   |-1450.73  |817.41    |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-40.68    |97.95     |27.15     |-59.22    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |106.3819  |120.7412  |114.2308  |108.8368  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |1252.8147 |231.3097  |401.5921  |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |290.2133  |-29.8810  |36.1070   |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-5309.81  |-7349.74  |-16658.97 |-23276.49 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |2879.54   |-10448.31 |3446.81   |14931.75  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2009-06-30    |2008-06-30    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|货币资金(万元)      |18762.76      |11676.41      |60.69       |
|现金期末余额(万元)  |18762.76      |11676.41      |60.69       |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2008年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    45143.75|     26.74|     1164.69|    197.19|
|第二季度      |    44148.55|     26.15|     1272.00|    215.35|
|第三季度      |    40331.66|     23.89|     -238.59|    -40.39|
|第四季度      |    39188.48|     23.21|    -1607.45|   -272.15|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    33101.75|     22.93|      719.29|     19.24|
|第二季度      |    35203.15|     24.39|     1290.69|     34.53|
|第三季度      |    36487.43|     25.28|     1391.03|     37.21|
|第四季度      |    39568.20|     27.41|      337.00|      9.02|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2009-06-30
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.1981|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1882|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |     -0.0209|    1.4946|    中警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      2.0377|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.4032|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -0.70|     -0.86|      0.27|     -0.93|
|总资产现金回收率      |      0.03|     -0.06|      0.14|      0.67|
|净利润率              |     -0.89|     -0.91|     -0.88|      0.34|
|应收帐款              |     -0.31|     -0.71|     -0.54|     -0.11|
|经营预警综合指数      |     -0.44|     -0.60|     -0.16|     -0.03|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -0.78|     -0.91|     -4.33|     -0.95|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -0.26|     -0.09|     -1.28|     -0.49|
|留存盈利              |     -0.96|     -0.91|     -0.88|      0.70|
|净资产收益率          |     10.00|      7.50|     11.02|    117.26|
|投资预警综合指数      |      1.50|      1.02|      0.35|     23.16|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.39|      0.37|      0.36|      0.33|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.39|      0.37|      0.36|      0.33|
|支付现金股利          |      0.69|      0.42|     -0.62|      1.55|
|银行贷款率            |      0.95|          |          |      0.67|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.74|      0.73|      0.69|      0.58|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      0.47|      0.18|      0.06|      7.18|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

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