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  凯乐科技[600260] 003
☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯600260   更新日期:2009-09-30◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2009-03-31|2008-12-31|2008-09-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.2500    |0.0900    |0.2600    |0.3900    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0500    |0.0800    |0.2300    |0.3700    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.7740    |5.4700    |5.1600    |5.6100    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |9.1000    |1.6700    |4.9700    |6.9800    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.8908    |2.0146    |1.8000    |2.0930    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.6131    |1.9964    |1.9110    |2.0724    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|41660.39  |22098.15  |115856.69 |90275.52  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |12170.02  |-         |644.11    |670.92    |
|净利润(万元)      |13326.25  |2407.91   |6772.83   |10332.06  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-06-30|2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.2500    |0.1200    |0.3400    |0.3800    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.2500    |0.1200    |0.2900    |0.3600    |
|每股净资产(元)    |5.5000    |5.3600    |-         |4.6400    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |5.9900    |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.4500    |2.1900    |5.6600    |8.9600    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|2.1338    |2.1219    |-         |1.4829    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.9329    |1.8076    |-         |1.6177    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|64316.89  |27123.94  |114340.15 |80360.22  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |-         |-         |32.41     |-         |
|净利润(万元)      |6456.92   |3093.59   |8944.78   |10057.10  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.2500    |0.2600    |0.3400    |0.3200    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0500    |0.2300    |0.2900    |0.2900    |
|每股净资产(元)    |2.7740    |5.1600    |-         |4.2500    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|0.8908    |1.8000    |-         |1.4860    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|0.6131    |1.9110    |-         |1.3605    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |-0.0621   |-1.1638   |-         |0.0551    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.6929    |-1.3009   |-         |-0.2376   |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|41660.39  |115856.69 |114340.15 |87590.92  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|经营费用(万元)    |2948.14   |6567.83   |4377.14   |3637.40   |
|管理费用(万元)    |2753.71   |6616.84   |3669.33   |4871.83   |
|财务费用(万元)    |657.08    |1214.33   |407.59    |-62.75    |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-1.31     |70.32     |0.08      |160.78    |
|营业利润(万元)    |15823.27  |8753.36   |13285.37  |12738.71  |
|投资收益(万元)    |12170.02  |644.11    |32.41     |-146.32   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |320.36    |-89.69    |1080.61   |864.13    |
|利润总额(万元)    |16143.63  |8663.68   |14365.98  |13602.85  |
|所得税(万元)      |2818.47   |1781.33   |5471.76   |4819.34   |
|净利润(万元)      |13326.25  |6772.83   |8944.78   |8373.31   |
|销售毛利率(%)     |26.24     |22.77     |-         |28.81     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |9.10      |4.97      |5.66      |7.47      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.28      |1.06      |-         |1.29      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |3.71      |13.70     |-         |7.58      |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.16      |0.48      |-         |0.56      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-35.23    |1.33      |-         |72.08     |
|营业利润增长率(%) |80.10     |-34.11    |-         |177.10    |
|税后利润增长率(%) |106.39    |-24.28    |-         |80.87     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |0.81      |-13.88    |-         |8.65      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |8.98      |-2.80     |-         |-4.47     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |274461.15 |236223.61 |243033.52 |152638.73 |
|负债总额(万元)  |126397.64 |98363.14  |83463.90  |39251.26  |
|流动负债(万元)  |83547.86  |81927.96  |71179.27  |39251.26  |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|货币资金(万元)  |51183.46  |14621.65  |42266.47  |18150.34  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |11522.41  |10912.68  |6004.03   |9071.84   |
|其他应收款(万元)|5722.16   |7272.44   |5766.40   |5835.89   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |146365.92 |136161.80 |-         |112159.30 |
|资产负债率(%)   |46.0530   |41.6398   |-         |25.7151   |
|股东权益比率(%) |53.3284   |57.6410   |-         |73.4802   |
|流动比率(%)     |2.4260    |2.0317    |-         |2.7265    |
|速动比率(%)     |1.1304    |0.6986    |-         |1.2949    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |41087.39  |116767.60 |118402.66 |104861.79 |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |-3279.79  |-30704.75 |-1763.70  |1454.95   |
|现金净流量(万元)|36561.82  |-34321.49 |22530.18  |-6269.12  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |-90.02    |1640.93   |-221.22   |-110.46   |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |98.6246   |100.7862  |103.5530  |119.7176  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-24.6135  |-446.1378 |-19.8297  |-         |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |274.3817  |-498.6887 |253.3127  |-         |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |10124.93  |-9056.45  |-7399.62  |-8525.00  |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |29716.83  |5445.36   |31708.15  |800.92    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2009-06-30    |2008-06-30    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|货币资金(万元)      |51183.46      |21740.31      |135.43      |
|在建工程(万元)      |13166.28      |5894.35       |123.37      |
|长期借款(万元)      |41500.00      |15000.00      |176.67      |
|股本(万元)          |52764.00      |26382.00      |100.00      |
|营业利润(万元)      |15823.27      |8785.62       |80.10       |
|利润总额(万元)      |16143.63      |8782.34       |83.82       |
|净利润(万元)        |13326.25      |6456.92       |106.39      |
|购买商品、接受劳务  |              |              |            |
|支付的现金(万元)    |37922.51      |81827.87      |-53.66      |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-3279.79      |-32868.77     |90.02       |
|投资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |10124.93      |-2174.87      |565.54      |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |72900.00      |36000.00      |102.50      |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |72979.89      |38436.16      |89.87       |
|偿还债务所          |              |              |            |
|支付现金(万元)      |40176.77      |22310.85      |80.08       |
|(筹资)现金流出      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |43263.06      |23918.67      |80.88       |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |29716.83      |14517.49      |104.70      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |36561.82      |-20526.16     |278.12      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|净利润(万元)        |13326.25      |6456.92       |106.39      |
|加:存货的减少      |              |              |            |
|(减:增加)(万元)    |975.89        |-32936.84     |102.96      |
|加:经营性应收项目减|              |              |            |
|少(减:增加)(万元)  |1955.84       |-16277.49     |112.02      |
|(附注)经营活动产生的|              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |-3279.79      |-32868.77     |90.02       |
|现金期末余额(万元)  |51183.46      |21740.31      |135.43      |
|减:现金期初余额(万元|14621.65      |42266.47      |-65.41      |
|(附注)现金及现金等  |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |36561.82      |-20526.16     |278.12      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2008年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    27123.94|     23.41|     3093.59|     45.68|
|第二季度      |    37192.95|     32.10|     3363.33|     49.66|
|第三季度      |    25958.63|     22.41|     3875.14|     57.22|
|第四季度      |    25581.17|     22.08|    -3559.23|    -52.55|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    22909.32|     20.04|     3091.45|     34.56|
|第二季度      |    27386.75|     23.95|     3286.48|     36.74|
|第三季度      |    30064.15|     26.29|     3679.16|     41.13|
|第四季度      |    33979.93|     29.72|    -1112.32|    -12.44|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2009-06-30
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.4340|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1697|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.1224|    1.6248|    轻警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      1.1579|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.3035|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |     -1.30|   -378.14|     -2.73|     -1.04|
|总资产现金回收率      |      0.42|      1.20|      0.33|    -16.34|
|净利润率              |      0.15|     -0.14|      0.44|      1.92|
|应收帐款              |     -0.28|     -1.01|     -1.38|     -0.88|
|经营预警综合指数      |     -0.29|   -113.31|     -0.91|     -5.01|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.25|     -1.89|     -1.97|     -0.99|
|现金盈利留存率        |     -2.00|    349.36|     -2.00|     -0.86|
|留存盈利              |      0.15|     -0.14|      0.44|    -14.35|
|净资产收益率          |    101.67|     76.17|     99.80|    182.95|
|投资预警综合指数      |     19.39|    119.45|     18.86|     33.17|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |      0.40|      0.61|      0.56|      0.90|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|      0.40|      0.61|      0.56|      0.90|
|支付现金股利          |      0.78|      0.88|     -1.30|      0.38|
|银行贷款率            |          |          |          |      0.16|
|筹资预警综合指数      |      0.67|      0.86|      0.87|      0.96|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      5.85|     -9.31|      5.28|      8.13|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   中警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

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