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  新黄浦[600638] 003
☆财务分析☆   ◇港澳资讯600638   更新日期:2009-08-22◇   灵通V4.0
★本栏包括【1.财务指标】、【2.异动分析】、【3.环比分析】、【4.财务预警】
【1.财务指标】
【历年简要财务指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2009-03-31|2008-12-31|2008-09-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1870    |0.0650    |0.3090    |0.2166    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1380    |0.0300    |0.1510    |0.0778    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.7181    |4.5965    |4.5312    |4.4680    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |3.9600    |1.4210    |6.8100    |4.8480    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8655    |1.8655    |1.8655    |1.8944    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.4778    |1.3562    |1.2909    |1.2166    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|24783.28  |6071.55   |44940.45  |37144.61  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |5574.46   |2849.50   |9577.73   |2875.22   |
|净利润(万元)      |10488.99  |3664.87   |17326.29  |12155.64  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)    |2008-06-30|2008-03-31|2007-12-31|2007-09-30|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|每股收益(元)      |0.1830    |0.0730    |0.3140    |0.2095    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.0660    |0.0730    |0.1080    |0.1836    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.4300    |4.3888    |4.3158    |4.1851    |
|调整后每          |          |          |          |          |
|股净资产(元)      |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |4.1300    |1.6630    |7.2700    |5.0100    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8943    |1.9589    |1.9589    |2.0147    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.1833    |1.0730    |1.0000    |0.7950    |
|主营业务收入(万元)|29504.77  |20343.86  |55127.99  |46139.19  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|投资收益(万元)    |2283.41   |1886.46   |17940.76  |7560.55   |
|净利润(万元)      |10284.36  |4095.74   |17604.03  |11496.20  |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【每股指标】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|审计意见          |          |标准无保留|标准无保留|标准无保留|
|                  |          |意见      |意见      |意见      |
|每股收益(元)      |0.1870    |0.3090    |0.3140    |0.1700    |
|每股收益扣除(元)  |0.1380    |0.1510    |0.1080    |0.0880    |
|每股净资产(元)    |4.7181    |4.5312    |4.3158    |4.3107    |
|每股资本公积金(元)|1.8655    |1.8655    |1.9589    |2.1675    |
|每股未分配利润(元)|1.4778    |1.2909    |1.0000    |0.8175    |
|每股经营活动      |          |          |          |          |
|现金流量(元)      |0.2922    |0.0144    |-0.1726   |0.1423    |
|每股现金流量(元)  |0.7270    |-0.7139   |0.6048    |0.1809    |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【利润构成与盈利能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|主营业务收入(万元)|24783.28  |44940.45  |55127.99  |59507.24  |
|主营业务利润(万元)|-         |-         |-         |-         |
|经营费用(万元)    |92.67     |178.09    |1834.38   |1167.61   |
|管理费用(万元)    |3175.42   |8150.46   |7526.40   |4590.47   |
|财务费用(万元)    |1730.77   |4867.23   |2233.00   |895.94    |
|三项费用增长率(%) |-11.99    |13.81     |74.23     |159.90    |
|营业利润(万元)    |10875.41  |12242.54  |20969.44  |6476.84   |
|投资收益(万元)    |5574.46   |9577.73   |17940.76  |3962.30   |
|补贴收入(万元)    |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|营业外收支        |          |          |          |          |
|净额(万元)        |2318.49   |9996.45   |3865.01   |2540.16   |
|利润总额(万元)    |13193.91  |22238.99  |24834.44  |9017.00   |
|所得税(万元)      |2553.41   |3803.52   |7181.43   |-657.44   |
|净利润(万元)      |10488.99  |17326.29  |17604.03  |9540.74   |
|销售毛利率(%)     |47.87     |37.23     |34.29     |21.47     |
|主营业务利润率(%) |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|净资产收益率(%)   |3.96      |6.81      |7.27      |3.94      |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【经营与发展能力】
┌─────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)    |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├─────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|存货周转率(%)     |0.12      |0.84      |2.31      |3.48      |
|应收账款周转率(%) |7.56      |12.34     |25.13     |30.89     |
|总资产周转率(%)   |0.05      |0.12      |0.16      |0.20      |
|主营业务收        |          |          |          |          |
|入增长率(%)       |-16.00    |-18.48    |-7.36     |109.24    |
|营业利润增长率(%) |61.08     |-41.62    |223.76    |-36.71    |
|税后利润增长率(%) |1.99      |-1.58     |84.51     |36.11     |
|净资产增长率(%)   |6.40      |4.99      |0.12      |7.88      |
|总资产增长率(%)   |38.65     |5.18      |11.27     |27.47     |
└─────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【资产与负债】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|每股指标(单位)  |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|资产总额(万元)  |522507.50 |382636.64 |363809.06 |326957.89 |
|负债总额(万元)  |231417.00 |122102.89 |114897.52 |80598.26  |
|流动负债(万元)  |132281.08 |70341.96  |64457.48  |80597.81  |
|长期负债(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|货币资金(万元)  |102922.17 |62125.32  |102189.47 |68248.30  |
|应收帐款(万元)  |1649.65   |4910.32   |2374.18   |2013.78   |
|其他应收款(万元)|1764.80   |4078.42   |16683.00  |1501.77   |
|坏帐准备(万元)  |-         |-         |-         |-         |
|股东权益(万元)  |264762.42 |254273.43 |242189.42 |241901.72 |
|资产负债率(%)   |44.2896   |31.9109   |31.5818   |24.6509   |
|股东权益比率(%) |50.6715   |66.4529   |66.5704   |73.9855   |
|流动比率(%)     |2.1396    |1.9856    |2.2922    |1.2701    |
|速动比率(%)     |0.8976    |1.2487    |2.0534    |1.0714    |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【现金流量】
┌────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
|财务指标(单位)  |2009-06-30|2008-12-31|2007-12-31|2006-12-31|
├────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|销售商品收到    |          |          |          |          |
|的现金(万元)    |28655.28  |41868.20  |46901.45  |72350.24  |
|经营活动现金    |          |          |          |          |
|净流量(万元)    |16397.47  |812.13    |-9688.16  |7990.30   |
|现金净流量(万元)|40796.85  |-40064.15 |33941.17  |10154.08  |
|经营活动现金净  |          |          |          |          |
|流量增长率(%)   |3547.68   |-108.38   |-688.50   |-92.41    |
|销售商品收到现金|          |          |          |          |
|与主营收入比(%) |115.6234  |93.1637   |85.0774   |121.5822  |
|经营活动现金流量|          |          |          |          |
|与净利润比(%)   |-         |4.4052    |-54.8810  |-         |
|现金净流量与    |          |          |          |          |
|净利润比(%)     |-         |-217.3210 |192.2684  |-         |
|投资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |-23265.82 |-32403.52 |855.99    |-15621.07 |
|筹资活动的现    |          |          |          |          |
|金净流量(万元)  |47665.20  |-8472.76  |42773.34  |17784.96  |
└────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

【2.异动分析】
【异动财务指标】
┌──────────┬───────┬───────┬──────┐
|财务指标(单位)      |2009-06-30    |2008-06-30    |变动幅度(%) |
├──────────┼───────┼───────┼──────┤
|应收账款(万元)      |1649.65       |7058.84       |-76.63      |
|预付账款(万元)      |664.17        |18365.10      |-96.38      |
|存货(万元)          |164291.78     |36753.88      |347.01      |
|流动资产合计(万元)  |283028.74     |153213.36     |84.73       |
|长期待摊费用(万元)  |13109.60      |6112.91       |114.46      |
|应付账款(万元)      |11879.55      |850.11        |1297.41     |
|预收账款(万元)      |4566.65       |10711.83      |-57.37      |
|其他应付款(万元)    |57860.93      |12874.34      |349.43      |
|流动负债合计(万元)  |132281.08     |74457.04      |77.66       |
|长期借款(万元)      |98711.00      |47334.00      |108.54      |
|负债合计(万元)      |231417.00     |122242.16     |89.31       |
|少数股东权益(万元   |26328.08      |5776.41       |355.79      |
|加:营业外收入(万元) |2320.92       |7323.15       |-68.31      |
|购买商品、接受劳务  |              |              |            |
|支付的现金(万元)    |21225.59      |44504.99      |-52.31      |
|支付其他与经营      |              |              |            |
|活动有关现金(万元)  |36897.87      |17333.03      |112.88      |
|经营活动产生的现金  |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |16397.47      |449.53        |3547.68     |
|购建固定资产、无形  |              |              |            |
|资产、其他长期资产  |              |              |            |
|所支付的现金(万元)  |908.32        |7351.52       |-87.64      |
|投资所支付的现金    |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |-             |16000.00      |-100.00     |
|借款所收到的        |              |              |            |
|现金(万元)          |72600.00      |25000.00      |190.40      |
|(筹资)现金流入      |              |              |            |
|小计(万元)          |72600.00      |25000.00      |190.40      |
|筹资活动产生的      |              |              |            |
|现金流量净额(万元)  |47665.20      |-8032.16      |693.43      |
|现金及现金等        |              |              |            |
|价物净增加额(万元)  |40796.85      |-28692.11     |242.19      |
└──────────┴───────┴───────┴──────┘

【3.环比分析】
【单季度财务分析】
┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2008年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    20343.86|     45.27|     4095.74|     23.64|
|第二季度      |     9160.91|     20.38|     6188.61|     35.72|
|第三季度      |     7639.84|     17.00|     1871.28|     10.80|
|第四季度      |     7795.85|     17.35|     5170.65|     29.84|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

┌─────────────────────────────────┐
|                              2007年                              |
├───────┬──────┬─────┬──────┬─────┤
|              |  主营收入  |占年度比重|  净利润    |占年度比重|
|              |   (万元)   |   (%)   |  (万元)    |   (%)   |
├───────┼──────┼─────┼──────┼─────┤
|第一季度      |    32667.88|     59.26|     4011.64|     22.79|
|第二季度      |     7212.08|     13.08|     5776.44|     32.81|
|第三季度      |     7290.71|     13.23|     1708.12|      9.70|
|第四季度      |     7957.33|     14.43|     6107.83|     34.70|
└───────┴──────┴─────┴──────┴─────┘

【4.财务预警】
【Z值预警】
截至日期:2009-06-30
┌───────────┬──────┬─────┬──────┐
| 指标名称             |   指标值   |    Z值   |   警度     |
├───────────┼──────┼─────┼──────┤
|净营运资金/资产总计   |      0.2885|          |            |
|留存收益/资产总计     |      0.1989|          |            |
|息税前利润/资产总计   |      0.0571|    1.1281|    重警    |
|股东权益合计/负债合计 |      1.1440|          |            |
|主营业务收入/资产总计 |      0.0948|          |            |
└───────────┴──────┴─────┴──────┘

【财务风险综合指数预警】
┌───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┐
| 名称                 |      2004|      2003|      2002|      2001|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
|经营预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|经营性现金盈利率      |    -12.38|     -1.89|      0.08|     -1.18|
|总资产现金回收率      |          |          |      0.01|     -0.05|
|净利润率              |     -0.38|     -0.46|     -0.49|     -0.42|
|应收帐款              |     -9.78|      0.46|      0.47|      0.70|
|经营预警综合指数      |     -5.75|     -0.57|      0.02|     -0.31|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|投资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益现金报酬率        |     -1.69|     -1.12|     -5.40|     -1.19|
|现金盈利留存率        |      9.85|     -0.41|     -1.17|     -2.17|
|留存盈利              |     -0.67|     -0.88|     -0.49|     -0.80|
|净资产收益率          |     59.00|     47.17|     41.17|     43.08|
|投资预警综合指数      |     14.12|      8.80|      6.17|      7.45|
├───────────┼─────┼─────┼─────┼─────┤
|筹资预警                                                              |
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|权益乘数              |          |          |      0.32|     -0.04|
|经营现金流入利息支出比|          |          |      0.32|     -0.04|
|支付现金股利          |      1.24|      6.05|     -0.99|      2.75|
|银行贷款率            |      0.88|      0.40|          |          |
|筹资预警综合指数      |      1.00|      1.00|      0.65|     -0.14|
├───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┤
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|财务预警综合指数fewci |      2.16|      3.04|      1.84|      2.34|
├───────────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┤
|警度                  |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |   轻警   |
└───────────┴─────┴─────┴─────┴─────┘

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